mardi 28 janvier 2014

Sonic: 4 Different Insiders Have Sold Shares This Year


In this article, I will feature one restaurant that has seen intensive insider selling during the last 30 days. Intensive insider selling can be defined by the following three criteria:



  1. The stock was sold by three or more insiders within one month.

  2. The stock was not purchased by any insiders in the month of intensive selling.

  3. At least two sellers decreased their holdings by more than 10%.


Sonic Corp. (SONC) operates and franchises a chain of quick-service drive-in restaurants in the United States.


(click to enlarge)


Insider selling during the last 30 days


Here is a table of Sonic's insider-trading activity during the last 30 days by insider.
















































Name Title Trade Date Shares Sold Rule 10b5-1 Current Ownership Decrease In Ownership
Robert RosenbergDirectorJan 10-2345,125 No88,397 shares33.8%
Stephen VaughanCFOJan 21-2224,500 No81,657 shares23.1%
Douglas BenhamDirectorJan 15-1621,764 No

0 shares


100%
Michelle BrittenVPJan 104,181 No0 shares100%

There have been 95,570 shares sold by insiders during the last 30 days.


Insider selling by calendar month


Here is a table of Sonic's insider-trading activity by calendar month.









































































Month Insider selling / shares Insider buying / shares
January 201495,5700
December 201349,8510
November 2013215,5670
October 201344,3060
September 2013451,5000
August 201300
July 201300
June 201300
May 201300
April 2013132,1240
March 201325,0000
February 20131,8000
January 201341,3150

There have been 1,057,033 shares sold, and there have been zero shares purchased by insiders since January 2013.


Financials


Sonic reported the fiscal 2014 first-quarter, which ended November 30, financial results on January 6 with the following highlights:



















Revenue$126.7 million
Net income$8.2 million
Cash$95.9 million
Debt$519.1 million

Outlook


Sonic's fiscal 2014 guidance is as follows:















Same-store sales growthlow single digits
Capital expenditures$65-$70 million
Free cash flow$15-$25 million

(click to enlarge)


(Source: Earnings presentation)


Competition


Sonic's competitors include Burger King Worldwide (BKW), and McDonald's (MCD). Here is a table comparing these companies.






























































































CompanySONCBKWMCDIndustry Average (Restaurants)
Market Cap:1.07B8.10B93.96B904.57M
Employees:11,23310,870N/A6.91K
Qtrly Rev Growth (yoy):0.01-0.400.020.08
Revenue:543.23M1.28B28.11B416.93M
Gross Margin:0.530.630.390.29
EBITDA:132.01M637.70M10.09B50.62M
Operating Margin:0.170.450.300.08
Net Income:38.78M215.50M5.59BN/A
EPS:0.670.605.550.43
P/E:28.2038.4317.0128.83
PEG (5 yr expected):1.401.732.001.81
P/S:2.056.423.371.86

Sonic is trading above the industry average P/S ratio.


Here is a table of these competitors' insider-trading activities during the last 12 months.


















Company Insider buying / shares Insider selling / shares
BKW 00
MCD 425150,669

Only Sonic has seen intensive insider selling during the last 30 days.


Conclusion


There have been four different insiders selling Sonic, and there have not been any insiders buying Sonic during the last 30 days. All four of these insiders decreased their holdings by more than 10%. Sonic has an insider ownership of 3.90%.


Before going short Sonic, I would like to get a bearish confirmation from the Point and Figure chart. The main reason for the proposed short entry is the intensive insider-selling activity.


Source: Sonic: 4 Different Insiders Have Sold Shares This Year


Disclosure: I have no positions in any stocks mentioned, and no plans to initiate any positions within the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article. (More...)




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