In this article, I will feature one restaurant that has seen intensive insider selling during the last 30 days. Intensive insider selling can be defined by the following three criteria:
- The stock was sold by three or more insiders within one month.
- The stock was not purchased by any insiders in the month of intensive selling.
- At least two sellers decreased their holdings by more than 10%.
Sonic Corp. (SONC) operates and franchises a chain of quick-service drive-in restaurants in the United States.
Insider selling during the last 30 days
Here is a table of Sonic's insider-trading activity during the last 30 days by insider.
| Name | Title | Trade Date | Shares Sold | Rule 10b5-1 | Current Ownership | Decrease In Ownership |
| Robert Rosenberg | Director | Jan 10-23 | 45,125 | No | 88,397 shares | 33.8% |
| Stephen Vaughan | CFO | Jan 21-22 | 24,500 | No | 81,657 shares | 23.1% |
| Douglas Benham | Director | Jan 15-16 | 21,764 | No | 0 shares | 100% |
| Michelle Britten | VP | Jan 10 | 4,181 | No | 0 shares | 100% |
There have been 95,570 shares sold by insiders during the last 30 days.
Insider selling by calendar month
Here is a table of Sonic's insider-trading activity by calendar month.
| Month | Insider selling / shares | Insider buying / shares |
| January 2014 | 95,570 | 0 |
| December 2013 | 49,851 | 0 |
| November 2013 | 215,567 | 0 |
| October 2013 | 44,306 | 0 |
| September 2013 | 451,500 | 0 |
| August 2013 | 0 | 0 |
| July 2013 | 0 | 0 |
| June 2013 | 0 | 0 |
| May 2013 | 0 | 0 |
| April 2013 | 132,124 | 0 |
| March 2013 | 25,000 | 0 |
| February 2013 | 1,800 | 0 |
| January 2013 | 41,315 | 0 |
There have been 1,057,033 shares sold, and there have been zero shares purchased by insiders since January 2013.
Financials
Sonic reported the fiscal 2014 first-quarter, which ended November 30, financial results on January 6 with the following highlights:
| Revenue | $126.7 million |
| Net income | $8.2 million |
| Cash | $95.9 million |
| Debt | $519.1 million |
Outlook
Sonic's fiscal 2014 guidance is as follows:
| Same-store sales growth | low single digits |
| Capital expenditures | $65-$70 million |
| Free cash flow | $15-$25 million |
(Source: Earnings presentation)
Competition
Sonic's competitors include Burger King Worldwide (BKW), and McDonald's (MCD). Here is a table comparing these companies.
| Company | SONC | BKW | MCD | Industry Average (Restaurants) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market Cap: | 1.07B | 8.10B | 93.96B | 904.57M |
| Employees: | 11,233 | 10,870 | N/A | 6.91K |
| Qtrly Rev Growth (yoy): | 0.01 | -0.40 | 0.02 | 0.08 |
| Revenue: | 543.23M | 1.28B | 28.11B | 416.93M |
| Gross Margin: | 0.53 | 0.63 | 0.39 | 0.29 |
| EBITDA: | 132.01M | 637.70M | 10.09B | 50.62M |
| Operating Margin: | 0.17 | 0.45 | 0.30 | 0.08 |
| Net Income: | 38.78M | 215.50M | 5.59B | N/A |
| EPS: | 0.67 | 0.60 | 5.55 | 0.43 |
| P/E: | 28.20 | 38.43 | 17.01 | 28.83 |
| PEG (5 yr expected): | 1.40 | 1.73 | 2.00 | 1.81 |
| P/S: | 2.05 | 6.42 | 3.37 | 1.86 |
Sonic is trading above the industry average P/S ratio.
Here is a table of these competitors' insider-trading activities during the last 12 months.
| Company | Insider buying / shares | Insider selling / shares |
| BKW | 0 | 0 |
| MCD | 425 | 150,669 |
Only Sonic has seen intensive insider selling during the last 30 days.
Conclusion
There have been four different insiders selling Sonic, and there have not been any insiders buying Sonic during the last 30 days. All four of these insiders decreased their holdings by more than 10%. Sonic has an insider ownership of 3.90%.
Before going short Sonic, I would like to get a bearish confirmation from the Point and Figure chart. The main reason for the proposed short entry is the intensive insider-selling activity.
Disclosure: I have no positions in any stocks mentioned, and no plans to initiate any positions within the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article. (More...)
If you found this analysis helpful, there are exclusively available in the research library for professional investors.
PORTFOLIO
| Symbol | Alerts | Price | Chg | % Chg |
|---|
- Research new investment ideas
- Reduce risk
Thank you for your interest in Seeking Alpha PRO
We look forward to contacting you shortly for a conversation.
This entry passed through the Full-Text RSS service — if this is your content and you're reading it on someone else's site, please read the FAQ at http://ift.tt/jcXqJW.
Aucun commentaire:
Enregistrer un commentaire